The future for car fuel is not that far away after all.
“Until recently, most people experienced clean- energy cars at auto shows, in the pages of magazines, or as image advertising they weren’t tangible. All that’s changed now: You can actually see electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles on the street, picking up groceries with early adopters at the wheel, taking the kids to Little League, and-lo and behold-even charging up at public stations,” the Futurist writer Jim Motavalli said.
Motavalli went on to say that there are battery electrics, plug-in hybrids, hybrids and hydrogen fuel-cell cars.
“Battery electrics are cars that have electric motors and battery packs, and no other means of propulsion. The range is generally 100 miles, but that’s not likely to remain the standard for long. The model Tesla Roadster can deliver 245 miles on charge”, said Motavalli.
“The Plug hybrids cars act like an electric car for the first 15 to 50 miles, but then they can switch to an on board internal-combustion engine that, in many cases, acts as a generator instead of directly driving the wheels. The Chevrolet Volt is an example of the plug-in hybrid, as is the Fisher Karma”, said Motavalli.
”Hybrids either use their electric motors as assists for the gas engine, or allow short bursts of electric-only driving. The Toyota Prius and Ford Fusion hybrids are examples of this car”, Motavalli said.
Motavalli defined hydrogen fuel-cell cars stating, that fuel cells produce electricity from hydrogen which replaces the battery pack. Seeing as hydrogen is the most abundant element in the universe; we will never run out of it. The main challenge is not having enough hydrogen filling stations.
“Nearly every major automaker is planning new clean-energy models, Ford intends to roll out five new models in 2012,” Motavalli said.
Ronald Berger Strategy Consultants forecasts that 10% of new cars globally will be electric by 2025, and the larger category includes hybrids and plug-in hybrids will have 40% of the market also. This would mean that car showrooms around the globe would be 50% electric with this new optimistic outlook, with the deciding factor being gas prices.
“Hydrogen fuel-cell cars should be ready for mass use in just a few more years, in addition, four car companies Daimler, Toyota, Honda and Hyundai plan to roll out tens of thousands of hydrogen powered cars by 2015,” Motavalli said.
Motavalli went on to say that the near obstacle is the lack of hydrogen infrastructure. By saying this he stated that there are recently fewer than a hundred hydrogen stations in all of the United States and only a handful are public. Though some entrepreneurs such as, Tom Sullivan; the founder of Lumber Liquidators, has just recently started Sun Hydro, which is a private chain of hydrogen fueling stations along the U.S. east coast.
“As it stands now though, the upcoming hydrogen powered cars may end up being sold in Europe, South Korea or Japan where public commitments on hydrogen infrastructure are much stronger than in the United States. The U.S. government has had an on-again, off-again relationship with hydrogen –powered cars,” Motavalli said.
Motavalli went on to say that American consumers don’t like electric cars, because demand is higher in the U.S. than anywhere. But demand in China could surpass the U.S. demand very quickly, China will likely become the world’s largest electric car market: It has put in place some of the world’s best incentives for electric cars and quite a few manufacturers are lining up to sell them to Chinese buyers.
“Demographic trends might also help the electric car market, as more people move to cities. Electrics will help fill the need for vehicles that can take people short distances at low speeds due to traffic and pedestrians, the obstacles for electric vehicles as city cars is the problem of charging them in cities like New York, we’re not likely to see on-street parking and charging units for electric vehicles,” Motavalli said.
Motavalli went on to say what we probably will see are electrical vector charging units in garages and buildings, but the rules and protocols have yet to be developed and that there need to be guidelines for apartment dwellers to charge electrics and right now that doesn’t exist. While there are some good reasons to be optimistic for electric cars in the future, at first a fairly small percentage of people will buy electric and plug-in hybrid cars solely because they expect to save money on them and most will be motivated by environmental concerns, but then oil prices could certainly affect the popularity of electrics.
“It is true that auto makers face major challenges to transitioning to electricity, but they are taking a chance with these new clean-energy cars. The revival of the electric car is now well underway, pushed forward by technological leaps, the imperatives of global warming and the sobering prospect of peak oil. That the electric cars are going to jumpstart our lives and do good things for the planet too,” Motavalli said.
The Vice President of Environment and Energy Beth Lowery stated that, Henry Ford had a great fascination with soybeans and took great liking to finding new uses for the soybeans he personally grew and not only did he create soybean meals sometimes to the dismay of his family and staff but he also used soybeans to produce plastics used in Ford vehicles, as well as ethanol produced as a gasoline alternative.
“We think E85 fuel currently available in our dependency on oil and improving the environment and it’s time to Live Green and Go Yellow,” Lowery said.
Lowery backed her statement by saying that the most significant development of ethanol has taken place in Brazil, Sweden and the United States. Brazil has excelled in developing a brand of ethanol derived from sugar cane, while U.S. ethanol has been made mainly from corn and Brazil’s ethanol industry got going in the late 1970’s. Today, ethanol production from sugar cane is very strong there and GM supports the industry by offering many popular vehicles that offer Flexpower the ability to run on 100 percent ethanol.
“The history of the past century shows us that whenever a nation has developed a resolve to run cars and trucks on a certain fuel, it has set a national fuel policy, gotten businesses on board, mobilized public opinion and met its goals. These examples should encourage all of us who hope for increased use of alternative fuels here in America,” Lowery said.
Lowery also stated that autonomy, the world’s first vehicle designed expressly around a fuel-cell propulsion system; and Sequel, a concept car debuted in 2005, that takes fuel cell vehicles to the next level.
“There’s no magic bullet so we’re concentrating our energies on a number of different fronts, and believe that many of these technologies will co-exist in the marketplace,” Lowery said.
Lowery went on to say I’d just like to mention that we remain committed to our long-term strategy , the hydrogen fuel cell and that’s the logical next step to reinventing the automobile and transforming our entire industry.
Mark Phelan, a critic who researched and reported on natural gas and stated that natural gas got a strong vote of confidence as a future vehicle fuel at the Society of Automotive Analysts Strategic Planning Summit.
“New methods of extracting the gas are one of the biggest changes affecting the auto industry in years,” General Motors Chief economist Mustafa Mohatarem said.
Mohatarem said the U.S. now has a 100 year supply of natural gas and he said I’d make a bet it’s the next big transportation fuel. The price is much lower than gasoline and people will find a way to use it.
“We’re also very high on natural gas, it’s a massive change for the United States, and probably a big deal for the motor industry,” said senior managing director of investment banking at Guggenheim Partners.
Kim Dong-Min the author of cars suggest the future of chemical materials stated that, the ability to manufacture lighter, stronger, fuel-efficient cars at lower cost is the Holy Grail of automakers.
“High gasoline prices continuously spur consumer demand for fuel-efficient cars, and government regulations and pressuring heavy industries to help reduce carbon emissions,” sad Min.
Min went on to say that the use of chemical and plastic materials not only answers the demand for fuel efficiency and lower production costs, it satisfies the safety and environmental consciousness needs of consumers and governments.
Min closed by stating that, cars with jointly developed sophisticated technologies will bring a transformation of the automobile.
Jim Lentz, the President of Toyota Motor sales stated that, since we can’t live with cars in their current form and we can’t live without the benefits they bring, we have to find a better way.
“And that’s what Toyota and other major automakers are doing today, developing better cars and other creative mobility solutions to do so we’re concentrating on two critical areas increasing fuel economy and reducing emissions that harm our planet,” Lentz said.
Lentz closed by stating that the auto industry is also making great progress on hydrogen fuel cell vehicles that create electricity from hydrogen and oxygen without generating any harmful emissions and that industry is exploring all these technological fronts because there is no one solution for future mobility needs, but the need for many.
Timothy Gibson article on the future of car fuels stated that, in truth some people are unlikely to be satisfied by any of the alternative fuel options currently available, but if we are to seriously address the world’s diminishing reserves of oil, and the damage caused to the environment by the internal combustion engine we will be forced to train ourselves into new habits or worst give up on the car altogether.